AL
Alaska Air Group Inc.
ALK · Alaska Air Group Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
0/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.2%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-0.2%
avg over 8 beats
Biggest single move
-4.7%
'24.6 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 3 of 8 beats (38%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -0.2% on a beat, +2.0% on a miss
vs Consumer Discretionary sector avg (201 peers)
This
+0.5%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 8 of last 12 times (67%)
5xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
3xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Oct 22After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $0.46
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-04
Next-day move
-0.9%
After 5 days -7.9%
vs Consensus$-0.99→$-0.92+7.2% beat
EPS
$-0.92
YoY -152%
Revenue
$4.1B
YoY +10%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
+42% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$-0.92YoY -152%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$4.1BYoY +10%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
5x42%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
1x8%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
4x33%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Price rose even on weak earnings — bad news priced in / buy-the-dip · 5 of 12q (42%)
Community · ALK
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