AI
AAR Corp.
AIR · AAR Corp. · Industrials
Up next day
6/12
50%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±8.3%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-1.5%
avg over 12 beats
Biggest single move
-16.4%
'25.2 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 6 of 12 beats (50%)
Tends to keep drifting the same way for days
Day-one direction continued · 58% of last 12
vs Industrials sector avg (197 peers)
This
-1.5%
Sector
+0.5%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 6 of last 12 times (50%)
6xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
0xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Sep 22After close
'26.8 expectedEst. EPS $1.32
Quarter ended 5/2026
Reported 2026-07-21
Next-day move
-9.8%
After 5 days -0.4%
vs Consensus$1.38→$1.53+10.5% beat
Beat by +10.5% but stock -9.8%
EPS
$1.53
YoY +32%
Revenue
$0.9B
YoY +23%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Fell despite growthvs market -9.6%p3.5x normal — unusual drop+16% run-up before
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.53YoY +32%
'23.8'26.5
Revenue$0.9BYoY +23%
'23.8'26.5
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
0x
Met expectations
good · up ↑
6x50%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
0x
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
6x50%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · AIR
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