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Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation

ADPT · Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation · Healthcare

Up next day
7/12
58%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±7.9%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
+3.1%
avg over 10 beats
Biggest single move
+33.7%
'25.3 · largest reaction

How this stock reacts to earnings

Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions

Tends to run up in the week before earnings
Rose beforehand 9 of last 12 · avg +4.7% · expectations build early
Beating estimates doesn't always lift it
Up the next day 6 of 10 beats (60%)
Moves in line with results — fairly predictable
Avg +3.1% on a beat, -5.5% on a miss
vs Healthcare sector avg (153 peers)
This
+1.6%
Sector
+0.4%
Avg next-day reaction

Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?

How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move

The number and guidance move the price about equally
Moved opposite to results 5 of last 12 times (42%)
4xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
1xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures

Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter

Nov 4After close
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $-0.10
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-07-29
Next-day move
+7.2%
After 5 days +9.0%
vs Consensus$-0.13$-0.25-87.2% miss
Missed by -87.2% but stock +7.2%
EPS
$-0.25
YoY -47%
Revenue
$0.1B
YoY +22%
Next-Q guidance
N/A
Price around earnings
Rose despite missvs market +5.5%p+61% run-up before

Earnings trend · last 12 quarters

EPS$-0.25YoY -47%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$0.1BYoY +22%
'23.9'26.6

Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters

UpDown
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
1x8%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
6x50%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
2x17%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
3x25%
← Weak earningsStrong earnings →

Mostly 'honest' — good earnings, price up · 6 of 12q (50%)

Community · ADPT

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