AD
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
ADM · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company · Consumer Staples
Up next day
4/12
33%
Fell despite growth
3/12
Good earnings ignored
Avg earnings move
±2.0%
typical swing on earnings
Price when beating
-1.6%
avg over 8 beats
Biggest single move
-6.4%
'25.9 · largest reaction
How this stock reacts to earnings
Traits seen across its recent earnings reactions
Even strong results barely move the stock
Up the next day 1 of 8 beats (13%)
Reaction is erratic and hard to predict
Avg -1.6% on a beat, +1.3% on a miss
Big earnings-day moves tend to fade within days
Reversed the day-one move · 67% of last 12
vs Consumer Staples sector avg (46 peers)
This
-0.6%
Sector
+0.3%
Avg next-day reaction
Earnings number vs guidance — which drives it?
How often the beat/miss matched the actual price move
This stock reacts more to guidance & expectations than the reported number
Moved opposite to results 10 of last 12 times (83%)
7xBeat but fell
Even a beat sells off if guidance disappoints
3xMissed but rose
Even a miss rebounds if guidance reassures
Earnings timeline · tap a bar for that quarter
Nov 3Before open
'26.9 expectedEst. EPS $1.52
Quarter ended 6/2026
Reported 2026-08-04
Next-day move
-2.9%
After 5 days +0.7%
vs Consensus$1.44→$1.84+28.0% beat
Beat by +28.0% but stock -2.9%
EPS
$1.84
YoY +98%
Revenue
$6.4B
YoY +1%
Next-Q guidance
—
N/A
Price around earnings
Fell despite growthvs market -2.7%p
Earnings trend · last 12 quarters
EPS$1.84YoY +98%
'23.9'26.6
Revenue$6.4BYoY +1%
'23.9'26.6
Price vs earnings · last 12 quarters
↑Up↓Down
Bad news out
weak · up ↑
3x25%
Met expectations
good · up ↑
1x8%
Disappointment
weak · down ↓
6x50%
Good earnings ignored
good · down ↓
2x17%
← ← Weak earningsStrong earnings → →
Weak earnings, price down — reacts honestly to earnings · 6 of 12q (50%)
Community · ADM
What do you think of this stock's earnings pattern?
···